RBI Projects India’s Economy To Grow 6.9% In 2026-27 Despite Global Headwinds
India’s economy is projected to grow 6.9 percent in 2026-27, remaining resilient despite global uncertainties, according to the Reserve Bank of India’s Annual Report 2025-26.
The RBI said strong domestic fundamentals, stable demand, lower export dependence and continued policy support will help sustain growth momentum.
However, the central bank flagged risks from the ongoing West Asia conflict, rising energy and commodity prices, supply chain disruptions and volatile global financial markets.
The RBI noted that global growth is expected to slow to 3.1 percent in 2026, while global inflation may rise to 4.4 percent, increasing pressure on trade and investment flows.
For India, CPI inflation is projected at 4.6 percent, with risks from higher fuel prices and currency volatility.
The report said strong corporate and banking sector balance sheets, government capital expenditure, healthy food stocks and improving labour market conditions will support growth.
RBI added that while India’s banking system remains stable with adequate capital buffers, global geopolitical tensions and financial market volatility continue to pose short-term downside risks.
