World Bank Sees Vietnam GDP Growth At 6.8% In 2026
Vietnam’s economy is expected to maintain strong growth momentum in 2026 despite increasing global uncertainties, supported by resilient exports, investment activity and ongoing structural reforms, according to the latest economic update released by the World Bank.
The World Bank projected Vietnam’s GDP growth at 6.8% in 2026 following an estimated expansion of 8% in 2025, highlighting the country’s continued resilience amid softer global conditions.
The report said manufacturing exports and investment remain the key drivers of growth, while a broad reform programme and major administrative restructuring are supporting economic expansion.
However, the World Bank cautioned that external risks remain elevated due to weaker global demand, oil price volatility and changing global trade conditions. The report also pointed to longer-term challenges including climate-related disruptions, demographic changes, technological transformation and rising infrastructure requirements.
According to the assessment, Vietnam will need to strengthen domestic value addition, improve linkages between foreign-invested and local enterprises, and enhance productivity to sustain medium-term growth.
Mariam J. Sherman, World Bank Division Director for Vietnam, Cambodia and Lao PDR, said the country’s reform agenda remains critical for sustaining investor confidence, private sector expansion and job creation.
The report added that effective implementation of reforms, adequate financing and stronger macroeconomic management will be essential for Vietnam to maintain growth resilience and progress towards becoming a high-income economy.
Vietnam’s textile and manufacturing sectors are expected to remain among the major beneficiaries of continued export-led growth, although exporters continue to face increasing pressure from evolving sustainability standards and shifting global demand trends.
